The article below was posted by Jason Calacanis, a noted industry pundit:

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Last Wednesday, 10AM, Las Vegas.

The South Point Hotel and Casino, a couple of miles off the strip. The
kind of hotel where you can get steak and eggs for $2.99–24 hours a
day.

Cashier: “How would you like your $200,000, Mr. Calacanis? Chips?”

Me: “That would be perfect.”

A huge security guard carries my “bird cage”–lingo for a clear white
case used for carrying poker chips–to the set of “PokerStars’ The Big
Game,” the most expensive poker show ever created.

Two hours later, I’ve got sick cards and I’m facing the most famous
poker player of all time, Doyle Brunson.

Me: “All in.”

Doyle: “I. Call.”

To myself: F@#$ me–I guess I overplayed my [INSERT CARDS HERE].

[Note: I can't say anything else about the hand due to my contractual
agreement. I can say that I feel I played well on the Big Game, which
will be airing on June 14th on Fox. ]

Overplaying your hand
=================
The biggest mistake most new players make at poker is overplaying
their hand. They spend so much time thinking of the ways they can win
that they forget all the ways they can lose. Overplaying hands can
affect even the most seasoned players, especially after they’ve won a
couple of hands in a row.

Over the past month, Mark Zuckerberg, the hottest new card player in
town, has overplayed his hand. Facebook is officially “out,” as in
uncool, amongst partners, parents and pundits all coming to the
realization that Zuckerberg and his company are–simply put–not
trustworthy.

Casual gaming company Zynga is reportedly developing plans to get over
their Facebook dependency. I predict a complete heads-up match with
Facebook–Zynga’s now been double-crossed not once but twice by
Zuckerberg. (The first double-cross was when Facebook stopped letting
applications like Farmville easily market themselves on profile
pages.) Instead, Zynga and others were told to advertise their apps if
they wanted distribution. OK, I’m guessing that evaporates 20-35% of
an app developer’s margin.

Now, Facebook is reportedly forcing developers to use their virtual
currency–for a 30% cut. These two moves have to take at least 50% of
the margin out of Zynga’s business.

Last year, when I realized that Zuckerberg was an amoral,
Asperger’s-like entrepreneur, I told Zynga CEO Mark Pincus that
Zuckerberg would try and slit his throat. I knew this because I
watched Zuckerberg screw over his users again and again in terms of
privacy, and I heard about the stories of him screwing over his former
employers at ConnectU and his early partners at Facebook.

The money quote from Business Insider’s scoop comes from Zuckerberg
himself: “they made a mistake haha. They asked me to make it for them.
So I’m like delaying it so it won’t be ready until after the facebook
thing comes out.” He stalled and sandbagged ConnectU–then
Zuckerpunched them! Of course, the person he said this to was his
partner–Eduardo Saverin–who he reportedly screwed as well.

Read all here: http://bit.ly/bmRip3

Add to all this that Zuckerberg was stealing every tiny innovation the
second Evan Williams and the team over at Twitter released it, and
Zuckerberg is clearly the worst thing that’s happened to our industry
since, well, spam.

You’re Zucked!
=================
Yes, that’s the new catch phrase for when someone either steals your
business idea or screws you as a business partner.

Who’s been Zucked and how? Let’s take a look back:

1. FourSquare was Zucked when Facebook stole their check-in feature.
2. Twitter was Zucked when Facebook stole their public facing profiles.
3. Facebook users got Zucked when the site flipped their privacy
setting–three different times!
4. The co-founder of Facebook was allegedly Zucked when he was kicked
out of the company he helped found.
5. The founders of ConnectU got Zucked when he allegedly screwed them
over by not delivering their social network and then launching
Facebook at the same time–and joked about it!
6. Harvard reporters reportedly got Zucked when Mark hacked their
accounts to try and stop a negative story/investigation about him.

You can only screw people for so long before it catches up to you. The
entire industry went from rooting for Zuckerberg to hating him and
Facebook–in under 18 months.

Peter Rojas and Matt Cutts have turned off their Facebook pages, and
more intelligent people everywhere are talking about doing so.

Zuckerberg represents the best and worst aspects of entrepreneurship.
His drive, skill and fearlessness are only matched by his long
record–recorded in lawsuit after lawsuit–of backstabbing, stealing
and cheating.

A look at last week’s headlines shows the trend:

Facebook’s Eroding Privacy Policy: A Timeline
http://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2010/04/facebook-timeline

Top Ten Reasons You Should Quit Facebook
http://gizmodo.com/5530178/top-ten-reasons-you-should-quit-facebook

Yet another Facebook privacy risk: emails Facebook sends leak user IP address
http://www.boingboing.net/2010/05/07/yet-another-privacy.html

A Stunning Infographic on Facebook’s scary privacy evolution
http://mattmckeon.com/facebook-privacy/

Facebook’s “Posts By Everyone” Feature: Do People Realize They’re
Sharing To The World?
http://selnd.com/96avG4

Facebook’s Gone Rogue; It’s Time for an Open Alternative | Epicenter |
Wired.com
http://bit.ly/aoNxf0

Senators Call Out Facebook On ‘Instant Personalization’, Other Privacy Issues
http://tcrn.ch/907D27

Facebook’s email days: “I’m CEO bith@#$%!”
http://bit.ly/ba5wRY

Facebook’s new features secretly add apps to your profile
http://bit.ly/bHXpH5

The Day Facebook Stole My Page
http://bit.ly/ar4A4As

Facebook is Dying – Social is Not
http://bit.ly/atwbzX

Facebook’s “Evil Interfaces” | Electronic Frontier Foundation
http://bit.ly/9ww6g3

I’m not making this up people.

The Stakes
==================
We’ve fought for years to create an open web, and we would be crazy to
give our future over to a selfish little kid who has no problem
stealing any innovation he catches from the corner of his eye from
other entrepreneurs.

Didn’t anyone read “Tom Sawyer”? We’re whitewashing Zuckerberg’s fence.

People are creating fan pages on Facebook and then paying Facebook to
send them traffic. Let me explain this one more time: You’re PAYING
Mark Zuckerberg money to send traffic to HIS SITE. Think about it.

Oh yeah, and while he’s taking your money and page views, he’s
convincing everyone that they don’t need their own customer’s
information: Just use Facebook Connect!

Oh yeah, and if you’re stupid enough to give up your customer database
to Facebook, he will pay you back by screwing over your user’s
privacy! Yes, that’s right: give up your customer database, pay for
traffic to build Facebook’s page views and, by the way, if you would
like to use a virtual currency, Zuck will take 30% of that as well!

Are we blind? It’s a trap! It’s a trap!

Zuckerberg’s crowning achievement is, of course, to show his utter
disdain and contempt for the industry by not only claiming–but
naming–his master plan “The Open Graph.”

An alternate path
==================
There a people and organizations in our industry–heck, our
world–that believe in being fair and respectful to competitors and
consumers alike. They don’t see the need to reverse open standards.
Rather, they embrace and expand them. Facebook is not good for our
industry, and as talented as Zuckerberg is, he is hopelessly misguided
and has a horrible ethics problem.

The Internet is the fastest growing medium–heck “thing”–in history
because it was designed to be open and fair. If you have a level
playing field people can invest in it. That is why the United States
has been such an amazing place to invest in a business and places run
by dictators are not. At any point your investment in Facebook can be
taken from you. At any point they can change the rules, and history
shows that dictators tend to changes rules in their favor–not the
other way around.

Facebook taking people’s topic pages out from under them or their
forcing folks into their virtual currency is no different than a
dictator in a 3rd world country telling an outside investor who just
spent millions putting in wireless phone network that their taxes have
just doubled–conveniently to a level that is almost exactly their
profit margin.

Anyone who trusts Facebook to do the right thing for the industry,
their customers or their application partners simply needs to look at
their history. Remember Frank’s First Rule from “Scarface”: “Lesson
number one: Don’t underestimate the other guy’s greed!”

The Web and HTML grew into the juggernaut they are today because
they’re based on open standards that everyone can buy into. No one
player has control or dominance over anyone else. Facebook’s very
obvious goal is to use the their social graph dominance to control the
future of advertising and attention on the Web. Why on Earth are we
supporting this?

The Social Graph will only reach its potential if it is truly
open–not controlled by a spoiled little kid with questionable ethics.

It’s time for the good people of the world to stand up against
Facebook. It’s time to build and support OpenID and the creation of an
truly open social graph. It’s time to force Facebook to allow open
data portability. It is our data, after all. The road map for the open
web has been laid out and supported by the “good guys/gals” at OpenID,
Google, Twitter, Open Social and countless others who don’t feel the
need to control the industry and manipulate our customers.

The more we feed the monster that is Facebook, the more we lose.

A Facebook Boycott?
====================
I’d call for a boycott of Facebook, but they’ve actually beaten me to it!

The enthusiasm for Facebook has soured with early adopters, Facebook’s
biggest partners and the French all pilling on. (Hey, you’re nobody
until the French hate you, right?).

In the words of Warren Buffet, “Look for three qualities: integrity,
intelligence, and energy. And if they don’t have the first, the other
two will kill you.”

Facebook has been overplaying hands for a long time and there is a
chance they might now get felted.

Stop Facebook, Save the World!

best regards,

Jason

After the crotchbomb there has been a lot of noise about airplane security again—you can see how stupid the leaked new flight rules are here. But what’s the actual risk of an airplane attack? Here’s the definitive chart: http://gizmodo.com/5435954/the-true-odds-of-airborne-terror-chart

The stats are from Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com

How about the choice of spending $1,000,000,000,000 of cash (certainly of less value than the lives of 4,500 US Soldiers and thousands of others) in the Iraq war?  What could we have done with that TRILLION dollars?  A writer provides a few choices…..

When the Sunday morning political pundits began talking last year about the tab for the war in Iraq hitting $1 trillion, Rob Simpson sprang from his sofa in indignation.

“Why aren’t people outraged about this? Why aren’t we hearing about it?” Simpson said. And then it came to him: “Nobody knows what a trillion dollars is.”

The amount — $1,000,000,000,000 — was just too big to comprehend.

So Simpson, 51, decided to embark “on an unusual but intriguing research project” to put the dollars and cents of the war into perspective. He hired some assistants and spent 12 months immersed in economic data and crunching numbers.

The result: a slim but heavily annotated paperback released, “What We Could Have Done With the Money: 50 Ways to Spend the Trillion Dollars We’ve Spent on Iraq.”

Simpson is no geopolitical, macro-economic, inside-the-Beltway expert. He’s an armchair analyst and creative director for an advertising agency, a former radio announcer and music critic in Ontario and a one-time voiceover actor.

His alternative spending choices reflect his curiosity and wit.

Read the whole article from CNN here.  Access Simpson’s web site here.

Ask yourself: how has “elitism” become a bad word in American politics? There is simply no other walk of life in which extraordinary talent and rigorous training are denigrated. We want elite pilots to fly our planes, elite troops to undertake our most critical missions, elite athletes to represent us in competition and elite scientists to devote the most productive years of their lives to curing our diseases. And yet, when it comes time to vest people with even greater responsibilities, we consider it a virtue to shun any and all standards of excellence. When it comes to choosing the people whose thoughts and actions will decide the fates of millions, then we suddenly want someone just like us, someone fit to have a beer with, someone down-to-earth—in fact, almost anyone, provided that he or she doesn’t seem too intelligent or well educated.

Harris echos my thoughts that the idea that Governor Palin might have input to, or even one day direct US foreign policy is very scary.  It’s not the inexperience that worries me — it’s the experiences she has had up to this point.

I want to see our “best and brightest” get into politics, but unfortunately, there is no motivation for them to do so.

Come on people!  It really doesn’t hurt that much to use your brain every now and then.

Part of the problem is that a lot of people didn’t pay attention in their high-school science classes — they never learned what a scientific theory is.  Read how Brian Denning explains the concept of a theory from his Skeptoid essays and podcast:

Evolution is just a theory, not a fact. [argues the creationist]  This is an easily digestible sound bite intended to show that evolution is just an unproven hypothesis, like any other, and thus should not be taught in schools as if it were fact. Actually, evolution is both a theory and a fact. A fact is something we observe in the world, and a theory is our best explanation for it. Stephen Jay Gould famously addressed this argument by pointing out that the fact of gravity is that things fall, and our theory of gravity began with Isaac Newton and was later replaced by Einstein’s improved theory. The current state of our theory to explain gravity does not affect the fact that things fall. Similarly, Darwin’s original theory of evolution was highly incomplete and had plenty of errors. Today’s theory is still incomplete but it’s a thousand times better than it was in Darwin’s day. But the state of our explanation does not affect the observed fact that species evolve over time.

You, dear reader, are one in a thousand.

So begins an article at space.com

The fact that you’re confronting this column on a web site devoted to space science and astronomy makes you roughly as rare as technetium.  Despite the fact that astronomy is one of the two most popular science subjects in American schools (the other is biology), it’s really not that popular.

The overwhelming majority of the citizenry has other interests, and looming large among them are the peccadilloes and personal intrigues of the rich and famous.  Consider the contrast: in the past week the Space Telescope Science Institute released a startlingly detailed photo of a distant cluster of galaxies, a picture that gives even the non-expert a good idea of the structure of these, the largest entities in the universe.  The photo of cluster Abell S0740–an image that would have bedazed every previous generation of humans–probably didn’t even make it to the front section of your local newspaper.

However, what did garner front-page ink last week, not to mention huge dollops of chatter on talk radio, was the unexpected death of Anna Nicole Smith, a former Playboy Playmate and reality TV star.

I’m amazed at not just the apathy toward science, but the outright antagonism toward it.  In past centuries, the population thought the sun revolved around the earth.  We all accept now that the earth revolves around the sun, but it took drastic measures to convince the population of that fact.  Other significant discoveries have also been initially rejected by the people, then accepted.  Why then, especially in the United States do we still have debates about teaching evolution in science classes?  Why do we respect a blastocyst (a group of 15-60 cells) as more “sacred” than a soldier’s life?  Why do people still deny (vehemently!!!) that global climate change is a reality?  A couple of generations ago, the US was proud to send the “best and brightest” into leadership positions.  Now, with notable exceptions, we seem to be sending the “mediocre and beholden” to leadership.  (We can’t blame them, the people we elect are simply reflections of ourselves.)  Worse, the general population seems to be losing interest in maintaining the US’s technical and visionary leadership of the world.  Who cares???  Just gimmie my National Enquirer!  How do we reconcile a written “Thou shalt not kill.” with a whispered “Go to war in Iraq”?  How do abortion clinic bombers justify killing?  Aren’t they “pro-life?”

I’m a firm believer in education — “You shall know the truth and the truth shall set you free.”  Please, dear reader, don’t simply follow the crowd; inform yourself!  If that information along with a rational evaluation lead to you follow the crowd, then fine.  Keep an open mind! Read!  Discuss!  Debate!  Choose Wisely!  Every now and then, visit Barnes & Noble and browse the books on the shelves.  You might find interesting discoveries.  Every now and then, read a book that is counter to your own beliefs.  You might find surprising common ground.  Above all, try to lift yourself out of ignorance — and bring a few others along with you.

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